The purpose of these pages is to help the user get full value from our 360 Demographics on line service.
The platform is designed to enable you to quickly look up data for use in reports/analysis, and because everyone has different needs it is as flexible as possible in terms of range of years used, variables selected, output etc.
Go to the URL directly by entering
or go to our home page (www.globaldemographics.com) and select login from the options by the 360 Demographics Subscription.
This will open up the option box shown on the left below. Select Existing Subscriber
All being well this will open access to the platform. In can initially take a few seconds while it first loads on to your computer's cache. Clearly the faster your internet connection the better. Otherwise please be patient.
Top Level Options
There are four different options available to the user as follows:
Quick View: This is an extensive set of pre specified tables covering most demographic and socio-economic variables. The user simply selects from the available set and immediately sees a table for that variable for each of user selected years. There is either an accompanying chart or the same table for another country or region to enable comparisons.
Interactive Forecasts: The future is uncertain by definition. No forecast can be correct all the time so this enables the user to alter the forecast for a single (or multiple) variables and see the impact of that on other demographic and socio - economic variables. In short it enables sensitivity analysis. For example; how will expenditure on say clothing, vary if female participation in the labour force increases faster.
DatamineX: This is an interactive menu enabling the user to construct tables according to their own particular needs. This can include multiple countries/regions, years and variables. The user can also set criteria such as listing countries with a total labour force over 2 million etc. These tables can then be downloaded for further analysis.
Graphs and Heat maps: The user can select a country/region and variable and then see a plot of that variable over a specified time period. Where appropriate the variable can also be displayed in a global heat map.
This is the default screen on entering Demographics 360. The initial action required of the user is the selection of a specific country or region from the drop down box at the top right of the screen.
On selecting a table from the menu on the left the following screen will be displayed:
At any point of time the user can select to down load the tables shown on screen to their computer. These are in csv format and for most operating systems the download file will automatically go to the 'Downloads' folder on their computer.
The menu of predefined tables on the left includes some master categories for which there are sub categories available. This applies to: GDP; Income; Household income; Age by Income Segments; Savings and Expenditure.
To see the sub categories simply click on the master category.
This is designed to enable users to test alternative scenarios. The model is being improved continuously but at present the user can select a end year and change the current forecast value of a variable in that year (say female participation rate) and the model will revise the trend fro that variable from the latest actual (2015) to the selected end year and they also display the resulting values of the other variables (eg size of the total labour force) in the end year as a result of that change. Multiple variables can be changed in a single 'run' but to identify the sensitivity of outcomes toindividual variables it is best to do one at a time.
To start and end an interactive session
From the open page for 360 select 'Interactive Forecasts' from the top left menu.
This opens the forecast model page as well as (until deselected) the help box as shown below.
On closing the help box (click on 'x' at top right corner) the full map of the model is enabled as shown below. You can close it and go back to Demographics 360 by clicking on the 'X' at the top right corner of this screen.
Note that the model is very large and will not normally fit on one screen. You need to scroll down/right to see some variables, but you can also move quickly around the model by using the mini- model - which can be dragged to any place on the screen. You can hide the mini- model by clicking 'hide mini map' in the top menu.
Scenario and Comparison Modes
There are two modes to the model - comparisons (normal) or scenario. You can switch between them easily by clicking on the top left menu item.
Scenario mode allows the user to alter the future state of each of a number of variables and see the expected impact of those changes on dependent variables in the model. For example, how a 5% point increase in female participation rate by the end year (over that forecast in the passive state) will impact the size of the labour force in the end year. Would this be offset by emigration increase (negative value in the grey cell in box number 2). The number of scenarios that can be tested is considerable.
In this mode clearly only one country is shown, and the base year is not user defined, is I s set by the system and is the latest year for which actual data is available. The user can however, select the forecast period.
The model calculates from left to right as indicated by the coloured arrows. However, if a subsequent variable has also been altered by the user the altered value will persist in the solution.
An example of changing a variable is given below. Note that in ordr to show the changes we have scrolled down the model so the set of boxes shown are slightly different from above.
In the scenario mode there is an option to hold the total Fixed Investment per annum constant, or the Fixed Capital Investment per worker. The user can switch between the two options and see the impact on worker productivity and then total GDP. This is only relevant if there is a change in the size of the labour force. (Box 20).
Finally in terms of the scenario mode the user can 'reset' to the base case by clicking on 'reset' in the top menu as shown below.
Because of the amount of data involved, subscribers to the China Cities Database need to select that database to open. The default is the countries database.
Normal (Comparison) Mode
In this mode two countries are compared across all the variables in the display for the years selected by the user.
It is useful for when you want to understand why two countries have different demographic or economic outcomes.
Graphs and Heat Maps
These allow you to quickly visualise a data variable. The results can be downloaded for use in a presentation.
Graphs and Maps - Graph View
Simply select the country, province or city that you want to examine, then the variable using the menu on the right.
In graph view you can use the sliders at the top of the chart to define the year range to use. The range is from 2005 to 2035.
To see the 'value' at a particular point on the line hover your mouse over that point and the values will be displayed as well as highlighted on the vertical and horizontal axes.
Graphs and Maps - Heat Map View
By switching to 'Map' View you can see how the selected variable varies across countries. The darker the colour the higher the value for that variable in that country.
In this view the user can change either the variable selected or the year used for the display.
This is a facility to allow the user to create and export their own specific tables. It is accessed from the box at the top left of the 'home page' for 360 Demographics.
The initial Datamine Screen is as shown below. To create a table the user should:
1) select countries/provinces/cities to be included in the table - you can choose from all three sets. That is compare cities of China with countries etc.
2) then select the years to be shown in the table (range is from 2005 to 2036)
3) then select the variable(s) to be shown in the table
DataMine - SELECTING COUNTRIES, PROVINCE AND CITIES
The top left blue box shows a drop down menu when clicked on.
The first list is a choice between countries, provinces (of China) and Cities (of China)
By clicking on the '+' sign a further list will appear under each. You can then select the countries/provinces/cities you want in the table. Remember - you can select from all three lists and can therefore (for example) compare provinces of China with individual countries.
By clicking on 'ALL' beside the main heading you select all in that group. 'None clears the same.
In the case of Cities in China
As the number of cities available is large (over 600) it is necessary to have further criteria
First select the provinces to be focused on
Then level of city
By selecting 'A' then all Provincial Capitals and SEZs in the selected province are selected (there is only one province capital per province)
By selecting 'B' then all Prefecture Capitals in the Province are selected - this will NOT include the Province Capitals
By selecting 'C' then all Towns are selected (ie all other urban areas in the province).
Next select the Years for which data is to be displayed
- The available range of years is from 2005 to 2036
- You must select at least 1 year
- You select years by clicking on the second blue box at the top - which will result in a drop down menu beign displayed.
- This will give default years - but by pressing 'clear' they will be deselected.
- You then tick the boxes for the years you want displayed. You can select as many as you want.
On completion click 'Add'
Then select variables to be included in the Table
- You can select multiple variables for the same table
- The left had menu shows major variable categories.
- Within some of those are sub categories (otherwise the major category is repeated)
- And by clicking on the sub categories the individual variables are listed as shown below
- You can select variables from different categories for the same table - simply click on the other category and repeat steps 3 and 4 above.
Finally set up a filter (if needed)
This is a useful way of seeing which Countries/Provinces/Cities are relevant. You can define a lower and upper limits for one of the selected variables and years and the table will update showing only those regions that meet that criteria.
The filtered page will then change to just those countries that meet the criteria on the selected variable.
Finally the User can:
- Download the table as a CSV file
- Reset the table - i.e. no countries, years or variables selected
- Close Datamine and return to the main 360 Demographics Page